Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Smith 51.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 82.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lowry
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Smith
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Lowry
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
54.1% (475)
-7.1%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
14.3% (7)
+42.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
46.4% (112)
-1.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Lowry
Smith
Home
49.2% (425)
54.4% (274)
Away
45.3% (426)
50.3% (320)
By Period
Lowry
Smith
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
39.8%
53.4%
P3
48.5%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Ben Smith |