Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Richards 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lowry
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lowry
Richards
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Lowry
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Richards
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.4% (4,561)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
51.0% (512)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.3% (92)
+3.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Home / Away
Lowry
Richards
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.1% (2,671)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.5% (2,512)
By Period
Lowry
Richards
P1
51.5%
49.6%
P2
51.8%
50.3%
P3
51.4%
51.0%
OT
46.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |