Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Richards 48.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 76.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 57.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lowry
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Lowry
Richards
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Richards
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
49.0% (769)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
39.2% (51)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
40.0% (5)
+5.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Lowry
Richards
Home
49.2% (425)
49.8% (424)
Away
45.3% (426)
46.9% (401)
By Period
Lowry
Richards
P1
53.6%
51.3%
P2
39.8%
44.8%
P3
48.5%
49.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |