Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.7%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Dubinsky 51.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 76.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 64.1%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 67.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Lowry
Dubinsky
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Lowry
Dubinsky
Last 9: Lowry 8-1 Dubinsky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dubinsky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dubinsky
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
0
Lowry
Dubinsky
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dubinsky
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
52.0% (1,224)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
66.7% (63)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
45.3% (201)
+2.5%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubinsky shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dubinsky
Home
52.9% (680)
55.1% (732)
Away
48.5% (615)
48.5% (756)
By Period
Lowry
Dubinsky
P1
51.5%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
51.6%
P3
49.3%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |