Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Sutter 50.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Lowry
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Sutter
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
2
Lowry
Sutter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Lowry
Sutter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
51.0% (1,022)
-4.0%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
57.7% (104)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
45.9% (233)
-0.9%
On even strength, Sutter has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sutter
Home
49.2% (425)
51.4% (692)
Away
45.3% (426)
49.8% (667)
By Period
Lowry
Sutter
P1
53.6%
50.6%
P2
39.8%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |