Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Sutter 54.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 75.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 70.1%
Neutral zone
Sutter 70.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Lowry
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lowry
Sutter
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
3
Lowry
Sutter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Sutter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Sutter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
55.4% (390)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
66.7% (12)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
54.7% (95)
-8.4%
On power play, Sutter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Lowry is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sutter
Home
50.3% (354)
57.3% (260)
Away
50.7% (361)
53.6% (237)
By Period
Lowry
Sutter
P1
48.5%
54.4%
P2
52.2%
57.3%
P3
50.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |