Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.0%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Boyle 50.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Lowry
Boyle
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
3
Lowry
Boyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Boyle
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Boyle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.7% (5,426)
+1.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.6% (597)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.2% (1,301)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Lowry
Boyle
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.2% (3,521)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.8% (3,828)
By Period
Lowry
Boyle
P1
51.5%
51.3%
P2
51.8%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
50.4%
OT
46.3%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |