Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Boyle 50.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 79.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 56.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Boyle
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Lowry
Boyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
3
Lowry
Boyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
2
Lowry
Boyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
53.4% (641)
-6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
47.6% (21)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
44.4% (243)
+0.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Lowry
Boyle
Home
49.2% (425)
51.8% (427)
Away
45.3% (426)
50.0% (478)
By Period
Lowry
Boyle
P1
53.6%
50.7%
P2
39.8%
52.7%
P3
48.5%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |