Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Jarnkrok 46.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.3%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
2
Lowry
Jarnkrok
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Lowry
Jarnkrok
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
2
Lowry
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
47.1% (601)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
50.0% (18)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
18.2% (22)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
49.2% (425)
44.5% (362)
Away
45.3% (426)
48.4% (279)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
53.6%
48.5%
P2
39.8%
45.9%
P3
48.5%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
47.2%
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |