Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Wilson 43.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.9%
Neutral zone
Wilson 50.4%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lowry
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Wilson
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
1
Lowry
Wilson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Wilson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
42.0% (157)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
26.3% (19)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
0.0% (2)
+45.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Wilson is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wilson
Home
49.2% (425)
39.0% (77)
Away
45.3% (426)
40.6% (101)
By Period
Lowry
Wilson
P1
53.6%
35.4%
P2
39.8%
40.0%
P3
48.5%
41.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |