Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Roy 45.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 58.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Lowry
Roy
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Lowry
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Lowry
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
44.8% (784)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
45.0% (111)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
42.9% (14)
+2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
49.2% (425)
45.8% (421)
Away
45.3% (426)
43.9% (488)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
53.6%
44.9%
P2
39.8%
43.6%
P3
48.5%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |