Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Fehr 51.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fehr 66.2%
Defensive zone
Fehr 77.2%
Neutral zone
Fehr 68.6%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Lowry
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lowry
Fehr
Last 9: Lowry 3-6 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
3
Lowry
Fehr
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
0
2
Lowry
Fehr
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Fehr
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
51.4% (512)
+7.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
100.0% (4)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
50.3% (193)
+3.5%
On power play, Fehr has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Fehr is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Lowry
Fehr
Home
61.0% (602)
51.0% (347)
Away
53.7% (514)
51.7% (362)
By Period
Lowry
Fehr
P1
57.3%
43.9%
P2
58.1%
55.1%
P3
57.4%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |