Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zolnierczyk on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Zolnierczyk 48.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zolnierczyk 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.3%
Result
Harry Zolnierczyk favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Zolnierczyk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zolnierczyk
1
2
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
35.3% (17)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
100.0% (2)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Zolnierczyk has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zolnierczyk shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Zolnierczyk is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
Home
52.9% (680)
100.0% (2)
Away
48.5% (615)
35.3% (17)
By Period
Lowry
Zolnierczyk
P1
51.5%
37.5%
P2
51.5%
62.5%
P3
49.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Zolnierczyk
44.0%▬
43.1%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Harry Zolnierczyk |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Harry Zolnierczyk |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Harry Zolnierczyk |