Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Compher 51.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 56.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lowry
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Compher
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Lowry
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
52.2% (471)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
65.6% (61)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
41.6% (125)
+0.7%
On power play, Compher has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Lowry
Compher
Home
53.4% (515)
54.4% (362)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Lowry
Compher
P1
54.2%
49.6%
P2
54.4%
53.6%
P3
50.8%
51.4%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |