Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Stoll 50.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Lowry
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Lowry
Stoll
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
3
Lowry
Stoll
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
5
Lowry
Stoll
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
4
Lowry
Stoll
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
51.8% (953)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
50.8% (65)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
45.5% (143)
-0.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Stoll is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stoll
Home
49.2% (425)
51.0% (606)
Away
45.3% (426)
51.0% (555)
By Period
Lowry
Stoll
P1
53.6%
51.3%
P2
39.8%
52.6%
P3
48.5%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |