Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Williams 45.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 93.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.3%
Neutral zone
Williams 66.9%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Lowry
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Williams
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
4
Lowry
Williams
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Williams
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
41.5% (386)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
51.0% (243)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
34.6% (26)
+10.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Lowry is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,902).
Lowry shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Lowry
Williams
Home
53.4% (5,759)
46.2% (327)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
43.3% (328)
By Period
Lowry
Williams
P1
51.5%
39.9%
P2
51.7%
46.1%
P3
51.3%
49.0%
OT
47.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Justin Williams |