Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lowry
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Lowry
Brodziak
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
4
Lowry
Brodziak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
9
Lowry
Brodziak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
1
Lowry
Brodziak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.5% (6,432)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.8% (326)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
45.5% (1,344)
-0.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brodziak
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Lowry
Brodziak
P1
51.5%
49.2%
P2
51.8%
50.7%
P3
51.4%
49.5%
OT
46.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |