Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 67.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.8%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 55.8%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Lowry
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Chipchura
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.9% (2,100)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
45.7% (46)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
45.0% (171)
-0.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Lowry
Chipchura
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Lowry
Chipchura
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
51.8%
50.3%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
46.3%
78.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |