Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 77.6%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 52.6%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 66.7%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Lowry
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Chipchura
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
50.9% (2,100)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
45.7% (46)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
45.0% (171)
+0.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Lowry
Chipchura
Home
53.4% (5,759)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Lowry
Chipchura
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
50.3%
P3
51.3%
48.9%
OT
47.8%
78.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |