Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Chipchura 51.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 81.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Lowry
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Chipchura
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Lowry
Chipchura
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
52.8% (790)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
35.3% (17)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
45.9% (109)
-0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Lowry
Chipchura
Home
49.2% (425)
52.5% (465)
Away
45.3% (426)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Lowry
Chipchura
P1
53.6%
53.6%
P2
39.8%
50.9%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |