Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Turris 50.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 71.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 67.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 67.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Lowry
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Turris
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Lowry
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
49.4% (1,154)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
57.6% (217)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
41.6% (101)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Lowry
Turris
Home
49.2% (425)
54.7% (760)
Away
45.3% (426)
45.1% (712)
By Period
Lowry
Turris
P1
53.6%
54.1%
P2
39.8%
50.2%
P3
48.5%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |