Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Wallmark 50.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.8%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 57.8%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lowry
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Wallmark
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Lowry
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Lowry
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.5% (1,852)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
56.3% (103)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.9% (216)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wallmark
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Lowry
Wallmark
P1
51.5%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
50.8%
P3
51.4%
48.7%
OT
46.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |