Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Wallmark 50.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 73.9%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 72.1%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 69.5%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Lowry
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Wallmark
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Lowry
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Lowry
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
51.8% (956)
+6.8%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
44.1% (59)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
47.4% (114)
+6.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wallmark
Home
61.0% (602)
52.5% (579)
Away
53.7% (514)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Lowry
Wallmark
P1
57.3%
54.4%
P2
58.1%
48.8%
P3
57.4%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |