Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Stajan 49.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lowry
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Lowry
Stajan
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Stajan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
6
Lowry
Stajan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.2% (4,944)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
43.2% (176)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.1% (864)
-1.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stajan
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Lowry
Stajan
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
51.4%
49.4%
OT
46.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |