Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Stajan 50.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 61.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Lowry
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Stajan
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
51.1% (503)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
42.9% (7)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
46.7% (92)
-1.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stajan
Home
49.2% (425)
55.1% (336)
Away
45.3% (426)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Lowry
Stajan
P1
53.6%
51.3%
P2
39.8%
47.7%
P3
48.5%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |