Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Domi 45.3% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 86.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Lowry
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Domi
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
43.6% (826)
+15.0%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
51.6% (157)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
46.2% (13)
+7.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Lowry
Domi
Home
61.0% (602)
46.4% (524)
Away
53.7% (514)
43.2% (472)
By Period
Lowry
Domi
P1
57.3%
45.2%
P2
58.1%
42.7%
P3
57.4%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
61.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |