Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Ribeiro 43.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 50.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 74.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Lowry
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lowry
Ribeiro
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Ribeiro
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
42.7% (1,121)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
46.2% (221)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
16.7% (6)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ribeiro
Home
49.2% (425)
44.9% (710)
Away
45.3% (426)
41.2% (638)
By Period
Lowry
Ribeiro
P1
53.6%
43.8%
P2
39.8%
44.6%
P3
48.5%
40.3%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |