Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Spaling 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 61.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lowry
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Spaling
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Lowry
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Lowry
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.5% (2,263)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
43.4% (53)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
48.0% (498)
-3.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Lowry
Spaling
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Lowry
Spaling
P1
51.5%
49.8%
P2
51.8%
48.3%
P3
51.4%
52.0%
OT
46.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |