Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Spaling 48.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Lowry
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Spaling
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Lowry
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Lowry
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
47.1% (155)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
60.0% (15)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Spaling is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Lowry
Spaling
Home
49.2% (425)
47.2% (108)
Away
45.3% (426)
50.0% (66)
By Period
Lowry
Spaling
P1
53.6%
43.6%
P2
39.8%
41.9%
P3
48.5%
59.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |