Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 77.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Lowry
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Jokinen
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Lowry
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
40.4% (275)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
50.0% (14)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
39.0% (41)
+6.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Jokinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jokinen
Home
49.2% (425)
37.9% (145)
Away
45.3% (426)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Lowry
Jokinen
P1
53.6%
48.2%
P2
39.8%
38.5%
P3
48.5%
34.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |