Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 24-23 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lowry
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
23
(47 meetings)
24
23
Lowry
Kesler
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
5
Lowry
Kesler
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
8
Lowry
Kesler
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
10
Lowry
Kesler
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kesler
Home
53.5% (5,893)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Lowry
Kesler
P1
51.5%
56.5%
P2
51.8%
55.9%
P3
51.4%
56.1%
OT
46.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |