Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Kesler 56.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 74.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Lowry
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Kesler
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Lowry
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Lowry
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
57.4% (1,185)
-10.4%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
58.0% (243)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
49.2% (236)
-4.2%
On even strength, Kesler has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kesler
Home
49.2% (425)
58.5% (793)
Away
45.3% (426)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Lowry
Kesler
P1
53.6%
57.0%
P2
39.8%
55.4%
P3
48.5%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |