Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Laughton 53.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Lowry
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Laughton
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
54.9% (556)
+3.7%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
66.7% (6)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
47.9% (73)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Laughton is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Lowry
Laughton
Home
61.0% (602)
53.3% (302)
Away
53.7% (514)
55.0% (333)
By Period
Lowry
Laughton
P1
57.3%
52.5%
P2
58.1%
57.6%
P3
57.4%
51.8%
Final 5 min
61.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |