Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Rask 50.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 80.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.5%
Neutral zone
Rask 58.6%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lowry
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Lowry
Rask
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Lowry
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
7
Lowry
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.0% (4,428)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.3% (363)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
35.2% (54)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rask
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Lowry
Rask
P1
51.5%
50.7%
P2
51.8%
48.9%
P3
51.4%
50.7%
OT
46.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Victor Rask |