Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Hinostroza 43.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hinostroza 57.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Lowry
Hinostroza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Hinostroza
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Hinostroza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
2
Lowry
Hinostroza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hinostroza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Hinostroza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
38.9% (157)
+12.5%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
50.0% (14)
+4.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Hinostroza is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hinostroza
Home
52.9% (680)
48.4% (91)
Away
48.5% (615)
30.0% (80)
By Period
Lowry
Hinostroza
P1
51.5%
32.7%
P2
51.5%
42.4%
P3
49.3%
44.9%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
41.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |