Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Nylander 51.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 82.3%
Defensive zone
Nylander 72.1%
Neutral zone
Nylander 75.7%
Result
William Nylander favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Lowry
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lowry
Nylander
Last 5: Lowry 0-5 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
5
Lowry
Nylander
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
51.7% (574)
+7.3%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
47.9% (73)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
66.7% (3)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Nylander is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nylander
Home
57.9% (330)
51.8% (336)
Away
54.0% (341)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Lowry
Nylander
P1
55.8%
53.6%
P2
55.8%
44.4%
P3
56.1%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | William Nylander |