Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 57.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Lowry
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Lowry
Smith
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Smith
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Lowry
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Lowry
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
51.2% (342)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
45.3% (985)
-0.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Lowry
Smith
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Lowry
Smith
P1
51.5%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
46.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |