Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Smith 51.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Lowry
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Smith
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Lowry
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
53.6% (550)
-7.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
53.5% (71)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
43.5% (108)
+1.3%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Lowry
Smith
Home
49.9% (393)
56.5% (352)
Away
43.1% (452)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Lowry
Smith
P1
45.1%
52.0%
P2
44.8%
51.5%
P3
49.1%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |