Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Smith 48.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 64.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 89.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Lowry
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Smith
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
49.7% (485)
+9.3%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
46.8% (47)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
38.6% (88)
+6.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Lowry
Smith
Home
57.9% (330)
48.7% (310)
Away
54.0% (341)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Lowry
Smith
P1
55.8%
45.8%
P2
55.8%
47.4%
P3
56.1%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |