Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.9%). Look for Mair on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mair 50.5% vs Kelly 50.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mair 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 63.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 54.8%
Result
Adam Mair favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Mair
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mair
Kelly
Last 5: Mair 3-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mair
2
1
Mair
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Mair
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mair
1
0
Mair
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mair
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (104)
51.9% (723)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.4% (166)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Mair has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Mair is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Mair shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Mair
Kelly
Home
54.7% (53)
53.8% (442)
Away
47.5% (59)
48.1% (474)
By Period
Mair
Kelly
P1
47.5%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
47.6%
P3
45.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
69.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mair
58.0%▲
50.9%
50.9%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Adam Mair |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Adam Mair |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Adam Mair |