Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.5%). Look for Mair on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mair 50.5% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 54.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 54.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 53.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Mair
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mair
Backstrom
Last 5: Mair 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Mair
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mair
3
1
Mair
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mair
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (104)
50.4% (11,581)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.0% (889)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Mair has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Mair is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Mair shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Mair
Backstrom
Home
54.7% (53)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
47.5% (59)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Mair
Backstrom
P1
47.5%
50.1%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
69.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mair
58.0%▲
50.9%
50.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |