Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.5%). Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Graovac 47.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Graovac leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Graovac 51.4%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 55.8%
Neutral zone
Graovac 53.4%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Ruzicka
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Ruzicka
Graovac
Last 10: Ruzicka 4-6 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
2
3
Ruzicka
Graovac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Ruzicka
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ruzicka
Graovac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
46.5% (497)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
50.0% (4)
+5.2%
On power play, Ruzicka has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Ruzicka is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Ruzicka shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Graovac
Home
44.9% (294)
47.6% (233)
Away
48.9% (315)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Ruzicka
Graovac
P1
46.0%
41.7%
P2
49.1%
47.4%
P3
45.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |