Scouting Report
Adam Ruzicka holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 49.6% vs Graovac 47.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Graovac leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 50.9%
Defensive zone
Graovac 58.0%
Neutral zone
Graovac 54.2%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Ruzicka
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Ruzicka
Graovac
Last 10: Ruzicka 4-6 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
2
3
Ruzicka
Graovac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Ruzicka
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ruzicka
Graovac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (24)
45.1% (91)
-3.4%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-20.0%
On power play, Graovac has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Ruzicka is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Ruzicka shoots left. Graovac is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Graovac
Home
40.0% (10)
46.2% (39)
Away
52.6% (19)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Ruzicka
Graovac
P1
57.1%
39.3%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
28.6%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.3%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |