Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Coleman 43.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 82.4%
Defensive zone
Coleman 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 51.3%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Kempe
Coleman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Coleman
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Coleman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Coleman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
3
Kempe
Coleman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
1
Kempe
Coleman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
45.3% (1,060)
-5.1%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
34.1% (41)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
35.8% (321)
+6.8%
On power play, Kempe has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coleman
Home
42.4% (1,045)
44.5% (663)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
41.4% (759)
By Period
Kempe
Coleman
P1
39.5%
42.4%
P2
40.1%
44.6%
P3
42.2%
41.7%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |