Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Coleman 47.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 87.7%
Defensive zone
Coleman 71.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 61.3%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kempe
Coleman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Coleman
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Coleman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Coleman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
3
Kempe
Coleman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
0
1
Kempe
Coleman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
48.1% (430)
-10.0%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
36.4% (11)
+5.7%
On even strength, Coleman has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Coleman is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coleman
Home
39.1% (312)
47.5% (221)
Away
38.0% (371)
46.5% (316)
By Period
Kempe
Coleman
P1
39.4%
46.7%
P2
37.7%
52.4%
P3
39.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
30.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |