Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Horvat 54.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 91.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 93.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 97.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Kempe
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Kempe
Horvat
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kempe
Horvat
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
11
Kempe
Horvat
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
5
Kempe
Horvat
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
53.9% (12,606)
-13.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
61.0% (2,699)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
47.1% (1,494)
-4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Home / Away
Kempe
Horvat
Home
42.4% (1,045)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Kempe
Horvat
P1
39.5%
54.1%
P2
40.1%
54.4%
P3
42.2%
55.0%
OT
37.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | OT | 01:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |