Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Richardson 51.9% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 96.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 89.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Kempe
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kempe
Richardson
Last 7: Kempe 1-6 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
5
Kempe
Richardson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Kempe
Richardson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
54.6% (830)
-16.5%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
41.2% (17)
+0.9%
On even strength, Richardson has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Richardson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Kempe
Richardson
Home
39.1% (312)
53.2% (485)
Away
38.0% (371)
51.1% (558)
By Period
Kempe
Richardson
P1
39.4%
53.9%
P2
37.7%
50.6%
P3
39.0%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
30.7%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |