Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Point 50.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Kempe
Point
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Point
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Kempe
Point
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
2
Kempe
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
2
Kempe
Point
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Point
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
50.7% (728)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
53.3% (122)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
16.7% (6)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Kempe is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (252).
Kempe shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kempe
Point
Home
43.6% (369)
50.7% (424)
Away
41.6% (370)
50.9% (432)
By Period
Kempe
Point
P1
40.0%
45.5%
P2
44.3%
55.3%
P3
43.6%
53.0%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Brayden Point |