Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.8%). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Connolly 43.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 61.5%
Neutral zone
Connolly 51.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kempe
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
40.2% (229)
+0.0%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
43.1% (58)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
50.0% (2)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kempe
Connolly
Home
42.4% (1,045)
42.6% (129)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
39.4% (160)
By Period
Kempe
Connolly
P1
39.5%
41.8%
P2
40.1%
40.0%
P3
42.2%
40.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%