Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 39.9%). Look for Boeser on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Boeser shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Boeser 41.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 52.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 51.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kempe
Boeser
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Boeser
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Boeser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
0
1
Kempe
Boeser
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
0
3
Kempe
Boeser
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Boeser
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Boeser
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
39.6% (442)
+0.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
41.9% (43)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
50.0% (4)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boeser shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Boeser is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Kempe
Boeser
Home
42.4% (1,045)
40.9% (242)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
38.9% (247)
By Period
Kempe
Boeser
P1
39.5%
37.2%
P2
40.1%
42.0%
P3
42.2%
40.0%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Brock Boeser |
| Feb 14, 2019 | OT | 01:22 | Defensive | Brock Boeser |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Boeser |