Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Jarnkrok 49.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 77.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 55.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 54.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Kempe
Jarnkrok
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Jarnkrok
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
2
Kempe
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
50.7% (742)
-6.4%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
62.1% (29)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.3% (144)
+15.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Kempe is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Kempe shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Home
49.6% (113)
52.4% (489)
Away
27.5% (40)
46.0% (426)
By Period
Kempe
Jarnkrok
P1
43.9%
51.9%
P2
44.0%
50.3%
P3
43.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |